Welsh Labour has become the first party to release costings for its Senedd election manifesto, putting a £347m price tag on key pledges including free secondary school meals and expanded childcare – but leaving out its £4bn hospital rebuilding programme.

A Survation poll for S4C and Aberystwyth University puts Reform UK on 30% and Plaid Cymru on 28%, with Labour trailing on 15% just over a week before polling day.

A new Find Out Now poll puts Plaid Cymru on 29% and Reform UK on 27%, with Welsh Labour slipping to just 10% ahead of the Senedd election.

Eluned Morgan has acknowledged she could lose her Ceredigion Penfro seat, using canned cocktails to explain the voting system and urge Labour supporters to turn out.

Rhun ap Iorwerth has insisted Plaid Cymru’s free childcare pledge can be funded by reprioritising the Welsh Government’s existing budget, as Labour, the Conservatives and Reform UK challenged the party to publish its costings.

First Minister Eluned Morgan has appealed to voters to stick with Labour ahead of the Senedd election, arguing now is “not the time for change” despite polls placing her party third behind Plaid Cymru and Reform UK.

The latest YouGov poll for ITV Cymru Wales places Reform UK and Plaid Cymru on an identical 29% vote share ahead of the May 7 Senedd election, with Labour projected to win just 12 seats.

Rhun ap Iorwerth has set out his party’s priorities for government, including cutting NHS waiting times and easing childcare costs, as Plaid prepares to launch its full manifesto.

The Wales Green Party says opinion polls show it is on course to make history at the 7 May election, with rent controls and water bill cuts among its key pledges.

Helen Jenner has been named deputy leader of Reform Wales ahead of the May 7 Senedd election, as the party deals with a series of candidate departures.