YouGov’s final MRP model for the 2026 Senedd election projects Plaid Cymru will win 43 seats, with Labour facing their worst Welsh result in over a century on just 12% of the vote.
Plaid and Reform deadlocked as poll points to hung Senedd
The final More in Common MRP projection before the Senedd election shows Plaid Cymru and Reform UK tied on 34 seats each, with Labour facing a historic collapse to just 14 seats and no clear path to forming a government.
Plaid Cymru suspends councillor over immigration remarks
Gwynedd Cllr Gareth Roberts has been suspended by Plaid Cymru and faces an investigation after claiming immigration was harming the Welsh language in Bangor.
Welsh Labour publishes £347m manifesto costings
Welsh Labour has become the first party to release costings for its Senedd election manifesto, putting a £347m price tag on key pledges including free secondary school meals and expanded childcare – but leaving out its £4bn hospital rebuilding programme.
Reform UK leads Senedd poll for first time ahead of Plaid
A Survation poll for S4C and Aberystwyth University puts Reform UK on 30% and Plaid Cymru on 28%, with Labour trailing on 15% just over a week before polling day.
Labour falls to fifth as Plaid leads new Senedd poll
A new Find Out Now poll puts Plaid Cymru on 29% and Reform UK on 27%, with Welsh Labour slipping to just 10% ahead of the Senedd election.
First Minister admits knife-edge seat could be lost
Eluned Morgan has acknowledged she could lose her Ceredigion Penfro seat, using canned cocktails to explain the voting system and urge Labour supporters to turn out.
Plaid leader defends childcare funding as rivals demand figures
Rhun ap Iorwerth has insisted Plaid Cymru’s free childcare pledge can be funded by reprioritising the Welsh Government’s existing budget, as Labour, the Conservatives and Reform UK challenged the party to publish its costings.
Morgan urges stability as Labour trails in Senedd polls
First Minister Eluned Morgan has appealed to voters to stick with Labour ahead of the Senedd election, arguing now is “not the time for change” despite polls placing her party third behind Plaid Cymru and Reform UK.
Reform and Plaid Cymru tied at 29% in latest Senedd poll
The latest YouGov poll for ITV Cymru Wales places Reform UK and Plaid Cymru on an identical 29% vote share ahead of the May 7 Senedd election, with Labour projected to win just 12 seats.
Plaid Cymru unveils key pledges ahead of Senedd election
Rhun ap Iorwerth has set out his party’s priorities for government, including cutting NHS waiting times and easing childcare costs, as Plaid prepares to launch its full manifesto.
Welsh Government backs proposed 6% student loan interest cap
Welsh Ministers have agreed in principle to cap Plan 2 and Plan 3 student loan interest rates at 6% from September 2026, though a final decision rests with the next Welsh Government.